Base Rate Fallacy Overview & Examples
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On 10/20/21, 49 of the 199 North Dakotans hospitalized due to COVID-19 are fully vaccinated. Dr. Paul Carson from the NDSU Center for Immunization Research & Education explains how the "base rate fallacy" may be affecting your perception of that number. | ND Health and Human Services
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On 10/20/21, 49 of the 199 North Dakotans hospitalized due to COVID-19 are fully vaccinated. Dr. Paul Carson from the NDSU Center for Immunization Research & Education explains how the "base rate fallacy" may be affecting your perception of that number. | ND Health and Human Services
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The defense against base rate fallacy is to never accept a stat at face value, and always look for the underlying statistics. I cover this and other manipulation tactics in Clear Thinker, which you can check out a preview at ClearThinkerAcademy.com Comment Clear and I’ll DM you the link. | thatskaizen
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So I found yet another example of a logical fallacy in our comments section about raw milk! This one is called the base rate fallacy. In a nutshell, raw milk appears safe because compared to things like leafy greens, there are a whole lot less reported cases of people getting sick. But when you take into account the total number of people eating leafy greens and drinking raw milk, you find that it’s *much more likely* for a person to get sick from raw milk. | Making Sense of Science
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The Base Rate Fallacy A test can be 99% accurate and still be wrong most of the time. When you ignore how rare something is, you overtrust the result. Accuracy without context is misleading. That’s the base rate fallacy. Tags #DataScience #BaseRateFallacy #Statistics #DataThinking #RiskAnalysis #TechCareers #Prachub
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