Recession fears have cooled, but a labor market chart flagged by one bearish strategist might give bullish investors pause.
If the Sahm Rule Recession Indicator holds, Edwards’ warning appears justified. But the rule is not infallible. After earning ...
Investors gripped with concern over the US economy can relax. Goldman Sachs explains why common worries, including frothy ...
WASHINGTON, Nov 23 (Reuters) - Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Sunday said the 43-day government shutdown caused an $11 billion permanent hit to the U.S. economy, but he was optimistic about ...
Taken together, the mainstream consensus for 2026 is a “slow‑growth, cooling‑but‑not‑cold” economy: moderate real GDP growth, ...
The U.S. economy remains largely unscathed but pressure could mount. The U.S. economy remains largely unscathed by the government shutdown, but the nation could risk economic peril if the impasse ...
When describing the health of the US economy, there is a temptation among economists, market analysts, and politicians to argue that the only true picture of our current situation is a sweeping ...
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent assured he is “very, very optimistic” about the economic outlook of 2026 and dismissed concerns of an impending recession. Bessent appeared on NBC News’s Meet the ...
TMC Research’s nowcast of recession risk continues to indicate a low probability that a downturn has started or is imminent. The economy has probably slowed in Q4, but the downshift doesn’t look sharp ...
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